Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.004447 0.004685 0.004930 0.005200 0.005490 0.005793 0.006135
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004125 0.004490 0.004882 0.005336 0.005848 0.006412 0.007081
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003813 0.004239 0.004710 0.005272 0.005928 0.006676 0.007600
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003584 0.004051 0.004579 0.005225 0.006000 0.006910 0.008072
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003383 0.003876 0.004444 0.005154 0.006027 0.007077 0.008455
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003291 0.003820 0.004441 0.005233 0.006228 0.007456 0.009115
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003172 0.003723 0.004380 0.005231 0.006323 0.007701 0.009611
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003048 0.003613 0.004294 0.005192 0.006364 0.007871 0.010011
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002912 0.003479 0.004173 0.005098 0.006325 0.007931 0.010257
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002796 0.003367 0.004072 0.005025 0.006305 0.008011 0.010531
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002724 0.003307 0.004034 0.005029 0.006389 0.008231 0.011012
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002582 0.003150 0.003865 0.004853 0.006216 0.008086 0.010951
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002526 0.003105 0.003842 0.004872 0.006316 0.008330 0.011485
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002514 0.003118 0.003895 0.004997 0.006568 0.008805 0.012401
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002434 0.003036 0.003818 0.004938 0.006554 0.008891 0.012714
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002364 0.002966 0.003755 0.004895 0.006560 0.009003 0.013074
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002291 0.002889 0.003679 0.004831 0.006531 0.009058 0.013343
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002270 0.002882 0.003698 0.004903 0.006706 0.009434 0.014166
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002225 0.002841 0.003668 0.004901 0.006770 0.009638 0.014710
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002172 0.002786 0.003616 0.004866 0.006778 0.009753 0.015105
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002104 0.002709 0.003533 0.004780 0.006705 0.009732 0.015255
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002045 0.002644 0.003463 0.004712 0.006657 0.009749 0.015474
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002012 0.002613 0.003442 0.004717 0.006723 0.009956 0.016053